Thailand is set to go to the polls April 2. The trouble is the opposition parties are not contesting the election because of their distrust of PM Thaksin and the TRT. Read more about the protests here. In all likelihood, the election will go ahead as planned but the results will probably be ignored by half the country. This sets up a dangerous situation where the sitting government is regarded as illegitimate by the opposition and most urban voters. TRT gets its support from mostly rural areas which happen to form a majority in this still developing country.
As this blog (and my website) has been contending for some time, Thailand is in the throes of a political battle the scale of which hasn't been seen in years. The Saturn station on the Moon squaring the Sun is the basis of the whole thing. This is a devastating aspect that can create hardship for both leaders (Sun) and the people (Moon). Whatever happens, Thailand's political culture will be fractured for a long time to come. In keeping with my previous predictions, I believe Thaksin's administration will not survive these protests.
Another angle on it can be seen in the eclipse of March 29th. The eclipse point itself at 14 Pisces conjoins the fallen Mercury in the 12th house and activates the Neptune in Thailand's chart. This emphasizes the role of distortion and deception in communications in the time ahead. This seems especially likely given Thaksin's reputation for shady financial dealings and authoritarian control over the media. Look for even more disturbing revelations about Thaksin to emerge in the coming days and weeks. Another troubling element of the eclipse chart is that Mars at 28 Taurus is being picked up by both eclipse angles, underlining the conflict that is underway at the moment. Given the instability of the situation, it is probable that this political conflict will spill over into the streets at some point and become violent. So far this hasn't happened, but this eclipse chart is an alert to this very real possibility.
I am looking at April 9th as a day of significant setback for the government as Sun conjoins natal Rahu in the 12th house and Venus forms a semisquare aspect to Rahu. Perhaps there will be judiicial or royal intervention of some kind then that will worsen Thaksin's position. April 18th is another day to watch out for as Mars conjoins Uranus and opposes the Jupiter-Saturn conjunction. If there will be violence in this political stand-off, this is the most likely time.
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