May 23, 2005

Canadian Parliament : Act 2

So where are we now? The Liberals survived by the narrowest of margins on May 19 only the defection of a prominent Tory MP to their side. It is unclear how stable parliament will be now, especially since the Tories have their 4 opposition days coming up starting on May 31 whbere they can table non-confidence motions.

I'm a bit surprised by these developments, since I was
certain that the Canada chart showed sufficient
disruption to indicate a spring election. While the
Gomery commission has fueled a politically damaging
scandal for the Liberals, this has so far manifested only
in falling poll numbers, a stalemate in Parliament, and political uncertainty that has driven the dollar down below 80 cents. The height of the revelations of the scandal took
place during the Saturn station when Saturn squared
the Canada ascendant.

I say "so far" because other non-confidence votes are
possible in the coming days and weeks. The next
Opposition Day in the Commons is May 31st. It is very
possible that the Tories will attempt to bring the
govt down. But what could change to change the vote
outcome? For one thing, independent MP Chuck
Cadman is battling cancer and there is no guarantee
that he could make it back to Ottawa for yet another
vote. And since he sits as an independent, there can
be no pairing off of MP from either side of the house
to allow for sickness.

In any event, the Uranus station is still going to
qunicunx the Sun/IC/Uranus conjunction in June and at
that time transit Rahu (north node) will be that much
closer to the Ascendant of the midnight chart. So I
expect the instability ought to continue for some time
to come. And I will stick with my original prediction
that the Liberal government will fall by early July.
Last summer I had specified a June or July election
for this destabilizing configuration involving Uranus
and Rahu.


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