Canada election prospects

Canada is on the verge of a federal election, with the three opposition parties uniting around a non-confidence motion to be tabled next week on November 24th. The government could be defeated on November 28th with an election due sometime in January. What is likely to happen here?

In an earlier post, I had thought that the Liberal govt was in trouble but would probably last until March when Jupiter stationed against Canada's natal Saturn in the 8th house. Now, I see that I may have misinterpreted things somewhat. There is no doubt that the early March period will be difficult for whatever government is in power, but looking at the planetary influences on November 28th, one can see a lot of hostile energy there (the Sun Mars square for example).

I think the government is likely to be defeated at that time. This is what most pundits are saying so the astrological angle isn't that helpful for enhancing our understanding. According to my reading of the stars, the most likely dates for an election are January 9 and January 22. The January 9th date has been widely mentioned as a likely date. In this election, I think the Liberals will lose seats in the House and will likely lose power as well.

What is interesting is that based on the NDP chart under the Layton leadership, December and January are going to be favourable months. An election held in January will likely see a rise in the NDP fortunes including the possibility of gaining of the balance of power in the formation of the next government (although I concede this is unlikely in the event of a Conservative minority win). The NDP fortunes start to wane around that time too however, suggesting that the new government, if elected in January, will have its hands full getting anything accomplished. A more difficult time for NDP lies down the road, as March and April look very challenging indeed.

Canadian politics are a real challenge for an astrologer because there are no fixed election dates, four political parties, and the current levels of popularity has no one far enough in front to win a majority. This means that there are no clear winners as there are in the US.