March 08, 2008

Wyoming caucus

Wyoming holds their caucus today. Obama usually does well in caucuses because they reflect the enthusiasm and commitment of voters which his campaign has clearly generated. Also, typically Republican states in the midwest such as Wyoming have tended to go for Obama by large margins as we saw in Idaho where Clinton lost by 30 points.

Nonetheless, the situation tonight doesn't look that bad for HRC to me. Transiting Sun is just past the ascendant in the campaign chart which shows profile. Perhaps she'll make a strong showing here losing by less than 10 points or even win. The difficult here lies in distinguishing profile and advantage that are coming to her now as a result of the Samantha Power misstep and the results of this relatively unimportant caucus. Another hint that Obama may not fare as well tonight is the transiting Moon will be sitting on the equal 12th house cusp tonight, which is often associated with loss.

The results tonight won't be that crucial to either side to inferring winners is tricky, but there is some reason to think that Hillary may perform above expectations and maybe even pull out a win. On the 11th, however, Mississippi looks more like a solid Obama win.

2 comments:

Liberty N. Justice said...

Unfortunately no win for HRC. However, Barack Obama is still smarting from his major losses of TX & OH. RI was the cherry on top.
A major loss for him now carries so much more meaning than when this started because it is clearly a rejection of his brand of "politics." You can add his wife Michelle Obama's unpatriotic remark to the women causing him problems. Her remark is still noted as a "problem" and still casts her in the light of an ungrateful bi+@#. I think Rezko is going to be the real problem for him. Obama's name already came up in "Opening Remarks" at a fraud & corruption trial. That's got to be a first for a presidential candidate. I really think that given the essence is that Rezko awarded business contracts and licences and favors for people "if" they made major campaign contributions, that, it is likely that over the past 17 years it is going to be revealed that one/some/or many of these contributions was made illegally to Obama. It may be that Obama doesn't even know it now. (not likely), but possible. But the odds are that he's hooked in there somewhere--and Rezko's business isn't good. You'd think that the $300,000 kick-back that Obama got off the price of his PERSONAL home would be enough--when he bought his house with his real estate partner Rezko. But, we shall see.

Tiger said...

Wym and Mi wins are for free to Obama. Nothing can change there for Obama or Hillary.