February 15, 2008

Hillary wins New Mexico

A small ray of hope fell upon the Clinton campaign yesterday when it was
announced that Hillary had won the Feb 5 New Mexico primary after a
lengthy recount. While this only gives her two more delegates than
Obama for her victory, it was a much-needed bit of good news in her
beleaguered campaign.

Polls released yesterday also showed her leading Obama by a wide margin
in Ohio and Pennsylvania. While these are seen as pro-Clinton states,
there was some question whether Obama's momentum might be eroding her
base. These positive poll numbers show that she may be able to not only
win these states, but also pick up the delegates needed to close Obama's
lead. All in all, yesterday was a mostly good news day for Hillary --
although a prominent member of the Black caucus John Lewis did come out
in support of Obama.

This up day for Hillary seems to confirm what I had forecast back on Feb
10th that Hillary would lose the Potomac primaries but would have some
gain shortly thereafter. Here's what I wrote then:

"More problematic for Obama is the 13th and 14th when the Venus conjunct
comes exact to Saturn and Sun lines up with the Ketu. Mercury is coming
to station in a square against his natal Neptune. Due to the time lag,
I don't see this difficult pattern being related to primary results but
it will be a noteworthy problem. Hopefully, it will have a public
manifestation so we can check our progress. Will HRC benefit from
this? It's very likely. Sun Venus and Mars all sync up around 2 degree
of their respective signs and set off her Uranus. By itself, the tr
Mars station to the natal Uranus has not done her any favours, but the
presence of these other planets may bring her an unexpected benefit that
helps her campaign."

5 comments:

Tiger said...

I kind of like this blogger as he is more accountable than those other astrologers who just blog and go away instead coming back with a new entry to accept the mistake or for a new prediction. I don't mind some one being wrong but not accepting the mistake makes him/her worse. keep up the good job.

Christopher Kevill said...

Thanks, I appreciate it. Being accountable is something astrologers should take more seriously if they want more legitimacy in society.

Remember, March will not be kind to Obama.

Tiger said...

it almost looks like the road is closed for Hillary. May be Obama's setback around March 8-12 is a very short that's not going to impact his nomination. Logically there is nothing in the world that can change the numbers (a lead of 143 pledged delegates ) any comments ?

Christopher Kevill said...

Almost, but not quite.

There are a variety of scenarios -- admittedly none of them probable -- that puts Hillary on top. If she wins Ohio and Texas on Mar 4th, then that changes the tone of the race. Even if it is unlikely she can close the delegate gap with the wins, it keeps her hopes alive. It then allows for the possibility of the public to sour on the Obama oratory, or for some dirt to appear on him. These are real possibilities. The longer the race goes, and the closer it stays, especially if Hillary can win PA Apr 22, means that party insiders will have to decide it. The Clintons have more allies in that camp than Obama does. And what to do about Michigan and Florida?

I know that Obama looks like he has it locked up now, but his chart does not look good. The March thing may be relatively minor, I'm not sure. But the real setback looks like it happens in May, June and beyond. I just can't see him winning the nomination. I could be wrong here. I've been wrong before and will be again, I know. But all is not as it seems in Obamaland.

Unknown said...

Readings given are comparator. But chart shows Obama will pave way for Republican.

Comparing the Chart of US, power - - who is fist - Woman or Black - there is good indication for later. But current period is not favorable for Hillary. Gradual dent created by her opponent would give her edge. Obama is more inclined towards Republican and this would be dangerous for him.