Hillary Clinton's campaign appears to be getting a double-barreled boost from her Pennsylvania win and the seemingly inexplicable desire of Rev. Jeremiah Wright to destroy Barack Obama's political future. The intense media scrutiny of Wright's comments and Obama's reaction to them has once again raised questions about his electability. Hillary has now moved into a statistical tie in national polls and more importantly ahead in Indiana, which votes on May 6. I had predicted an Obama setback around this time (May 2) and it seems that I was off a few days with the reigniting of the Wright controversy.
Given the current trends, it seems that my previous prediction -- although it was anything but confident -- of an Obama win in Indiana is going to be wrong. Given the current dynamics, it is hard to see how Hillary will lose Indiana. Certainly, this fits in with my larger prediction that she will win the nomination. Losing in Indiana would make that almost impossible, so I'm actually quite pleased that she's ahead there as it gives her a realistic chance. Nonetheless, from an astrological perspective, I still have to address some unanswered questions, specifically why is Venus rising in the Obama campaign chart on May 6th? It's conceivable that this may signal some setback because of Venus' natal conjunction with Rahu, but it's not at all what one would expect. And it's possible that the Venus (happiness) stands for some other favourable development in the campaign other than the Indiana result. Astrology is, above all, a science of inference. The other more unsettling possibility is that the campaign chart isn't actually that reliable. I'm not willing to go that far yet but a big Hillary win in Indiana that further encroaches on Obama's status as front runner will undermine my faith in it.
Given Howard Dean's likely preference for Obama, it's likely that the problems I saw in his chart for May 6th reflect Hillary winning. With her already widening the lead in the most recent Indiana polls, a Clinton win seems to be the most likely manifestation of Dean's annoyance and disappointment rather than my speculation of legal challenges of primary results on election night.
Although I had been predicting a Hillary win in this race for months, I couldn't quite see how she could actually do it in political terms given her deficit in delegate support. The ongoing media appetite for the Wright controversy and the related issue of Obama's inability to appeal to working class Democrats supplies the plausible answer to this puzzle. If she manages to win both IN and NC that would accelerate the questions about Obama. I still don't see her winning NC, but I have to be honest and say I can't see this one very clearly. Perhaps it means the results overall will be ambiguous, or perhaps it's just an artifact of my chart reading limitations.
I'm looking at the Sun-Saturn square near May 22nd as another potentially significant date for the campaign. This appears to favour Hillary because the transiting Sun, the 11th lord of gains, aspects her Jupiter in the 2nd house of status. In Obama's chart, by contrast, this completes the negative feedback look to his natal Taurus Moon. Given the proximity of the Kentucky and Oregon primaries on May 20th, I think this bodes well for Hillary's results there. I'll try to refine the predictions later on.
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What does it mean when you say that "You can't see NC clearly"? How is it that you can see other probable outcomes but not there in NC. It is also disturbing that the delegate count is insurmountable for HRC, and Super D's are fleeing. I don't see how this is going to come out. BO would have to resign in order for HRC to advance.
Here are my predictions, based solely on the current state of affairs and intuition:
**HRC will win Indiana by 5 points.
**She'll either tie or beat Obama by 1 percent (or even one vote) in NC. Why? Because Repubs and Independents who intented to vote for Obama in this semi-closed primary will stay home, but those who intended to vote for HRC will do so.
In addition, I think the socially conservative African American population are now largely put off by Obama's association w/Wright, whom they find distasteful. They'll begin to doubt Obama or his electability factor (given also HRC's 9-pt lead over McCain in the latest polls) and, once in the booth, they'll pull the lever for Hillary, whom they know and can trust.
I also predict that NC exit polls will be fakakta--totally off the mark because people won't want to admit whom they actually voted for.
Here's a memorable quote from TM blog, if Obama wins based on his delegate lead:
"Folks I hate to say it but conservatives are so much smarter than liberals when it comes to electing presidents. There is a reason why Bill Clinton is the only two term Dem President since FDR and that an idiot like GWB will serve two terms. Conservatives are right when they say liberals are out of touch with every day average Americans. The conservatives are doing a masterful job of showing the American people that the Democratic Party insiders and activists are attempting to nominate a candidate that hates America. I read a poll this morning that says that 58% of Americans think Obama agrees with Rev. Wright yet new SD’s are coming out for Obama. Conservatives will beat the drum this fall that the Dems denied the nomination to a woman that is well accomplished, that has dedicated her life to the country and although they disagree with her they know she loves her country. They will point out how dumb the DEM primary process was and equate that to how we will run the country. They will drive home the stupidity of the Fl and MI deal and the fact that Hillary in the end received more primary votes than any primary candidate in history and was still denied the nomination. They will show how leftwing thugs manipulated the caucus system to Obama’s favor. They will scream to the mountain top that the Democratic Party ran a darling of the far left funded by Moveon.org and not the candidate that the voters actually chose. They will show polls this fall with McCain beating Obama soundly and with Clinton beating McCain if she was the nominee that will make DEMs look like a bunch of idiots. This year is worse than the 1976 election following the Nixon resignation for the GOP however if Obama is the nominee they will still hold on [to] the white house. Folks this is unbelievable but true."
Hi Chris,
I copied this article from rishiastrology.com. Just wondering if you have the same readings. This was posted March 10th. Many thanks for your time and effort in giving HRC supporter hope in this very wild election.
"Obama is currently running the Mahadasha of Jupiter. Jupiter is an akarak for this lagna and is positioned in the 4th house where it is debilitated. However, I do not give much importance to this debilitation. In the chalit chart it moves into the 3rd house where it functions very effectively. Also the lagna is in the nakshatra of Jupiter, thereby making the planet a functional benefic for the chart.
A note to all students of astrology following this site-in 9 out of 10 cases, ANY planet, irrespective of its mundane nature and connection with the lagna, will give good results in its Mahadasha when it is the nakshatra or sub nakshatra lord of the lagna.
Jupiter itself is in the sub nakshatra of Ketu, which is the sub nakshatra lord of the lagna. And in the navamsa chart is sitting with the 10th lord of the lagna chart in its own sign and the most benefic 11th house. It is due to these factors, that right from the onset of the Jupiter Mahadasha Obama has been going from strength to strength. His present antar is of his lagna lord Venus, which is sitting in the 6th house from Jupiter. The 6th house is considered the house of competition and this combination has caused Obama to overcome severe odds and battle his way to the front of the race against Hillary.
His antardasha of Venus will end on July, 28, 2008. The antardasha of Sun that will follow will not give him good results at all. Sun is the lord of the 11th house of the chart and in any case doesn’t share a good relationship with the lagna lord. Also the Sub Nakshatra lord of the lagna is Ketu and the sub sub Nakshatra lord is Saturn both of which are planets hostile to Sun. Given these factors, I am convinced that Sun will NOT work well for this chart. The present transit of Saturn through the 11th house from the lagna and also the transit of Ketu through the same house is working very well for Obama. Both these planets work best in the 11th house. However, this transit of Ketu end on May 06, 2008 and Ketus transit through the 10th house during the antar dasha of Sun will have very adverse effects on this chart.
I am absolutely convinced that Obamas campaign will start losing momentum in a serious manner as soon as his Venus antar dasha comes to a close. And that is also the time when the Democratic Party will hold their convention to announce their candidate for the post of the President of the United States.
I admire what I have seen and read of and about Obama. I also trust his chart astrologically. But I am convinced that he is still only the Pretender. His status as the Contender is still some distance away. His has been a brave fight. But one he is not destined to win. Obamamania is on its last legs. Lets enjoy it while we can. It may be while before he is offered the center stage of world politics in this manner again".
Hi Chris
May 7th could be an active day in terms of Super Delegates trying to Choose sides. Based on the charts how do you see 7th for HRC and BO. Do you see any SD's switching from BO or any new support for HRC assuming she would win Indiana and loose NC in single digits?
Is the host watching the events of tonight. NC big for O'Bama. IN turning into a squeaker for HRC. What is to come from this?
I realize this means Chris was right on - with his prediction. He predicted Obama had strength on his chart and would win NC and the results would be more ambiguous for HRC in IN (though he guessed she would win it). Looks like all but two counties reporting she's ahead by 3.6%. Wow!
I know nothing about Vedic Astrology.
I believe Senator Clinton will do very well on May 13th.
Going by her Solar Chart, a type of chart that I have used successfully many times when there was no exact time of birth, the transiting moon will be going through Virgo that day, favourably
aspecting Mrs. C.'s Stellium in Scorpio.
It will be especially so also because the recent New Moon in Taurus will reinforce it, as the
Lunation will be in trine.
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